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The home of hype economics

Prediction Markets

Polymarket Insider Trading Case Raises National Security Risks as DOJ Charges Soldier Over $400K Maduro Bet

April 24, 2026 Shane Neagle

DOJ Charges U.S. Soldier Over Polymarket Bets Tied to Maduro Capture The U.S. Department of Justice has charged a military serviceman with using classified information to place profitable bets on…

Prediction Markets

Wisconsin Sues Kalshi, Robinhood, Coinbase and Others Over “Event Contracts” Tied to Sports Betting

April 24, 2026 Shane Neagle

Wisconsin Department of Justice has filed lawsuits against a group of fintech and crypto platforms, accusing them of facilitating illegal sports betting through the offering of so-called “event contracts,” according…

Prediction Markets

Aave Liquidity Crunch After Kelp DAO Exploit Triggers $6.2 Billion Withdrawals Across DeFi

April 20, 2026 Michael Lebowitz

Users of Aave encountered difficulties withdrawing funds after attackers used stolen rsETH tokens to borrow assets on the platform, driving a key lending pool’s utilization rate to 100% and effectively…

News

RAVE Token Collapse Triggers Manipulation Fears After 100x Surge

April 19, 2026 Michael Lebowitz

RaveDAO has denied any involvement in the recent surge and sharp collapse of its native RAVE token, as major cryptocurrency exchanges begin reviewing trading activity following allegations of market manipulation.…

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets Head Toward a Supreme Court Showdown

April 17, 2026 Shane Neagle

The legal conflict surrounding Kalshi is no longer a localized dispute between a platform and individual states. It is evolving into a constitutional-level question about federal authority, financial regulation, and…

News

Zonda CEO Says 4,500 BTC Cold Wallet Locked as Missing Founder Case Resurfaces

April 16, 2026 Shane Neagle

The situation around Zonda escalated fast this week. A cold wallet holding roughly 4,500 Bitcoin — about $334 million at current prices — is now effectively out of reach, at…

News

ECB Backs ESMA Power Shift: Europe Moves Toward Centralized Crypto Supervision

April 12, 2026 Shane Neagle

The endorsement by the European Central Bank of the European Commission’s proposal to centralize oversight of major crypto firms marks a decisive escalation in how Europe intends to regulate digital…

Analysis

Bitcoin ETFs vs Gold ETFs: Why the Next Capital Rotation May Redefine ‘Store of Value’

April 6, 2026 Shane Neagle

The idea that Bitcoin ETFs could overtake gold isn’t fringe anymore. It’s already showing up in how money is moving. Not headlines. Flows. And the flows don’t lie for long.…

Prediction Markets

Kalshi vs States: The Court Battle That Could Redefine Prediction Markets in the US

April 6, 2026 Shane Neagle

The ruling didn’t settle the fight. It just moved it to a bigger stage. This week, Kalshi picked up a key win at the United States Court of Appeals for…

Prediction Markets

Polymarket’s V2 Overhaul: Infrastructure Control, Collateral Design, and the Push Toward Regulation

April 6, 2026 Shane Neagle

Polymarket isn’t tweaking around the edges anymore. This upgrade feels like a line in the sand. What used to look like a fast, crypto-native prediction app is starting to look……

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