The home of hype economics
Polymarket just ran into a wall in the Netherlands. Not a warning shot. Not a polite letter. A hard stop. The Dutch Gambling Authority ordered Polymarket’s Dutch-facing entity, Adventure One,…
Market Overview Platform: Polymarket Question: “What will Gold (GC) hit by end of February?” Resolution date: February 28, 2026 Total volume: ~$3.1M Structure: Price ladder (multiple mutually exclusive ranges) This…
Market Overview Platform: Polymarket Question: “US strikes Iran by…?” Resolution dates offered: January 23, January 24, January 25, January 26, January 31, February 28, March 31, June 30 Current pricing…
Prediction markets have spent most of their existence at the edge of finance—used by niche communities, debated by academics, and often dismissed by regulators as little more than speculative curiosities.…
Prediction markets have become a real-time scoreboard for macro expectations, often distilling thousands of pages of economic data and central bank commentary into a single probability curve. One of the…
Prediction markets have become one of the fastest ways to gauge collective expectations in crypto, especially around token launches where hype, liquidity, and timing collide. A new market on Polymarket…
Polymarket Review: How Markets Turn Belief Into Probability Polymarket is not a gambling site, and it is not merely a crypto novelty. It is a financial instrument disguised as a…
Why Are Traders Using Polymarket to Price the Next Fed Chair? Prediction markets have evolved into real-time instruments for pricing political and macroeconomic expectations. Platforms like Polymarket increasingly function as…
بدأت منصة Polymarket، إحدى أكبر أسواق التنبؤات المبنية على البلوكشين، في إعادة فتح أبوابها للمستخدمين الأمريكيين بعد حظر سابق من هيئة تداول السلع والعقود الآجلة الأمريكية (CFTC) عام 2022. وابتداءً…