Dave Finances covers prediction markets, event contracts, regulatory developments, platform updates, legal disputes, market activity, liquidity, pricing, and emerging use cases across political, economic, financial, and sports-related markets. Our coverage focuses on major platforms, regulatory changes, market structure, and developments affecting traders and industry participants.
Polymarket changed the candle convention used to settle its recurring daily Bitcoin Up-or-Down markets by one minute after an October 5 contract produced conflicting price signals between the market’s written…
The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has introduced two regulatory measures designed to distinguish federally regulated prediction-market contracts from traditional gambling, escalating a legal battle over whether states can…
Kalshi is investigating a series of unusually well-timed trades that correctly predicted President Donald Trump’s choice of Katie Zacharia as the next White House press secretary, raising fresh questions about…
A prediction market turns uncertainty into a tradable price. Instead of asking people what they think will happen, it lets them put money behind a specific outcome. A binary contract…
A trader-first comparison of execution, fees, liquidity, APIs, settlement, funding and platform risk THE TRADER TAKEAWAY There is no single “best” platform because the three products sit at different layers…
The platforms look like simple probability apps. The economics increasingly look like an electronic market where casual flow meets specialists, market makers and automated traders. Research thesis Prediction markets are…
ThinkEquity is building toward the kind of all-in-one trading model increasingly associated with crypto exchanges and retail super-apps: stocks, bonds, crypto, prediction markets and tokenized assets accessible through a single…
OG.com Markets is seeking U.S. regulatory approval to list perpetual futures tied to individual stocks, joining a growing race among derivatives and crypto-linked trading platforms to bring one of digital…
Prediction-market traders are again assigning a meaningful chance to the United States restricting diesel exports, even after the White House publicly denied that it was preparing the 90-day blanket ban…
Polymarket has sued New York Attorney General Letitia James and other state officials in federal court, turning New York’s attempt to regulate the prediction-market operator as an illegal gambling business…