Dave Finances covers prediction markets, event contracts, regulatory developments, platform updates, legal disputes, market activity, liquidity, pricing, and emerging use cases across political, economic, financial, and sports-related markets. Our coverage focuses on major platforms, regulatory changes, market structure, and developments affecting traders and industry participants.
Coinbase’s prediction-market business is now offering same-day Bitcoin price contracts, providing a concrete look at how the crypto exchange is expanding beyond conventional spot and derivatives trading into event-based markets.…
Polymarket’s U.S. business faced a far larger fraud problem earlier this year than previously understood, with criminals using stolen debit cards to attempt at least $10 million in illicit transactions…
A Polymarket trader placed roughly $143,920 behind the Democratic Party outcome in the platform’s 2026 U.S. House-control market, producing one of the larger political whale alerts recorded this week without…
Polymarket reported a major degradation of its prediction-market trading infrastructure on Sept. 19, creating an important qualification for any unusual price moves, apparent arbitrage opportunities or probability shifts recorded after…
Crypto.com Builds Out a Large Sports Event Contract Marketplace Crypto.com is offering a broad slate of sports event contracts tied to games taking place on September 19, underscoring how far…
Prediction-market traders are increasingly positioning for exceptionally low shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz at the end of September, with Polymarket pricing a roughly 64% probability that the seven-day…
A prediction-market surveillance service has flagged 20 Polymarket wallets for statistically unusual trading patterns, including newly created accounts that recorded hundreds of resolved winning positions without a single reported loss.…
Prediction-market traders have sharply reduced the probability that Saudi Arabia’s damaged East-West oil pipeline will officially return to operation by Sept. 22, even as Saudi Aramco finds alternative ways to…
Polymarket and Myriad Traders Now Overwhelmingly Favor Anthropic Prediction markets are becoming remarkably one-sided over which of the two largest private artificial intelligence companies will reach public markets first, with…
Market Names Binance, Coinbase, Bybit, OKX and Kraken A Polymarket contract is pricing a roughly 4% chance that one of five major cryptocurrency exchanges will become insolvent or enter bankruptcy…