Prediction-market traders are again assigning a meaningful chance to the United States restricting diesel exports, even after the White House publicly denied that it was preparing the 90-day blanket ban…
Polymarket has sued New York Attorney General Letitia James and other state officials in federal court, turning New York’s attempt to regulate the prediction-market operator as an illegal gambling business…
New York has sued Polymarket, accusing the prediction-market operator of running an unlicensed gambling business and asking a state court to stop the company from operating in New York unless…
Polymarket’s U.S. business faced a far larger fraud problem earlier this year than previously understood, with criminals using stolen debit cards to attempt at least $10 million in illicit transactions…
Prediction-market traders are increasingly positioning for exceptionally low shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz at the end of September, with Polymarket pricing a roughly 64% probability that the seven-day…
A prediction-market surveillance service has flagged 20 Polymarket wallets for statistically unusual trading patterns, including newly created accounts that recorded hundreds of resolved winning positions without a single reported loss.…
Prediction-market traders have sharply reduced the probability that Saudi Arabia’s damaged East-West oil pipeline will officially return to operation by Sept. 22, even as Saudi Aramco finds alternative ways to…
Market Names Binance, Coinbase, Bybit, OKX and Kraken A Polymarket contract is pricing a roughly 4% chance that one of five major cryptocurrency exchanges will become insolvent or enter bankruptcy…
Six Polymarket wallets previously flagged for placing millions of dollars against the CLARITY Act have surged up the platform’s profit rankings after the legislation failed to advance in the Senate,…
New Wallets Show Hundreds of Resolved Wins Without a Recorded Loss A Polymarket monitoring service has flagged 20 wallets for unusually strong trading records, including newly created accounts showing hundreds…